Why IS is stronger in Syria than in Iraq
Several scenarios are currently under discussion on how to eliminate the Islamic State (IS), yet there is no solid plan so far capable of paralyzing the terrorist organization.
This
does not mean that the latest strikes by the coalition in Iraq and Syria have
not been successful in weakening the capacity of this organization and its
movement of the ground, or stopping its advance toward Baghdad and Erbil and
preventing it from expanding in Syria, especially after the resistance of the
People's Protection Units in Kobani.
Field data, indicates
that eliminating IS in Iraq would be easier than eliminating it in Syria, given
the integration and coordination between airstrikes and the movement of Iraqi
troops fighting on the ground against IS.
This is not the case in Syria, since
there is no a real partner for the coalition against this terrorist
organization and there is no complete coordination with a reliable partner other
than in Kobani. This was confirmed by more than one US official in the last few
days.
Military and security
expert Maj. Gen. Abdul Karim Khalaf told An-Nahar that the coalition’s strikes,
even if they come relatively late, will render positive results in Iraq, unlike in Syria.
This is mainly
because the airstrikes in Iraq are concurrently launched with ground attacks by
the Iraqi army, the popular militias and tribes in coordination with the
coalition.
“There is no such coordination in Syria since there is no real
partner on the ground that the coalition can trust and coordinate with,” Khalaf
said. “The lack of coordination between the coalition and forces on the ground
in Syria would delay the elimination of IS in Syria and accelerate it in
Iraq.”
Khalaf ruled out a
scenario separating Iraq’s IS from Syria’s IS, in accordance with available
military data in Iraq and Syria. “Before we get to the stage of controlling the
border with Syria and preventing IS from moving freely between Iraq and Syria,
there are necessary steps that must be taken, namely the restoration of Tikrit and Anbar, and then we could move on to the issue of
border control,” he said.
“Controlling the Iraqi-Syrian borders impedes IS’
movement and prevents it from transferring resources as freely as it is
currently doing, meaning it will not be able to freely transfer its members to
support its weak points.”
“Thanks to the
airstrikes, IS has become very weak, especially since June,” he said.
Khalaf regrets that
IS is not being eliminated from Iraq as quickly as required, saying, “Delaying
airstrikes in Iraq and holding up to arm Anbar’s tribes are the two main reasons that contributed in
extending IS’ life and its continued presence in the Iraqi provinces. …
If the
coalition strikes and ground forces had coordinated with each other from the
start, the situation on the ground would have been better, but that only
happened two weeks ago.”
The
clans fighting alongside the state achieved swift victories in Anbar, where IS
began to fall apart. The final blow will be at the start of the battle to
liberate Hit, in which families of the north (Sunnis) and the south (Shiites)
are participating.
“This motivates us to say that this is an
‘all-sects’ process, in addition to US support through the arrival of 50 US
military advisers to the Ain al-Assad base, to provide military advice for the
Iraqi ground forces,” Khalaf said.
Source: Al Nahar
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